Caroline Glick presenting the New Right platform |
Last night I attended a pre-election meeting at BGU at which
representatives of various parties explained their platforms and it was
moderated by the Times of Israel's senior analyst Haviv Rettig Gur.
The question I intended to ask was:
Professor Bernard Lewis, who by the way
was here at BGU some 13 years ago,
wrote: "In this context, the deterrent that worked so well during the Cold
War, namely M.A.D. (Mutual Assured Destruction) , would have no meaning. At the End of Time, there will be
general destruction anyway. What will matter is the final destination of
the dead-- hell for the infidels, and the delights of heaven for the believers.
For people with this mindset, M.A.D. is not a constraint; it
is an inducement..."
So, according to Bernard Lewis, Iran cannot be deterred. Why is
this not being discussed in the election
campaign? Only two Israeli politicians
ever quoted Bernard Lewis - Benjamin Netanyahu at the UN GA in 2012 and Michael Oren in his LA Times article in 2015. Why is this a taboo
subject?
I was told by the moderator that my question was too long so I
shortened Bernard Lewis's quote to its very essence.
The answers I got were not to the question I asked. Some
said that there is a consensus in Israel on the Iranian threat. True, there is
a consensus that there is a threat from Iran.
But few seem to understand the implications of the MAD
doctrine having no meaning when it comes to Iran. It is the character and therefore magnitude
of the threat that matters. The representative from the Blue and White
party quoted Gantz's statement that he
will never permit a nuclear Iran, but he never explained WHY it is imperative
to prevent Iran from getting the bomb. There was also a comment that it would
be a disaster not only for Israel but for the whole world. I could not agree
more.
But that was not what I asked. Nobody explained why Bernard Lewis,
one of the most renowned scholars of the Middle East, is not being quoted nor why there is no
discussion in the campaign about his warning. The nearest to answering my
question was Caroline Glick who said that this was a strategic issue and
difficult to discuss. It still does not
explain why nobody, including her, ever quotes Bernard Lewis on MAD.
Meretz and Labor kept emphasizing the "real issues" ,
i.e. education, housing, corruption -- however,
all this would have no meaning after a nuclear
war, so I am afraid we all live in denial. Some have probably heard of what
Bernard Lewis said but think that he is wrong since no Iranian mullah would be
willing to sacrifice himself, they only send their followers to do so. Others
probably believe that the very possibility that Iran gets the bomb is very slim
so why bother what they would do if they do get it.
I
think we are in deep shit. We are either living in denial or are just too
scared to explicitly acknowledge the
danger we are in. Would quoting Bernard Lewis help? I think it
would, but there is nothing we can do to change minds on this.
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Bernard Lewis and Norman Podhoretz on Iran and MAD
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Bernard Lewis and Norman Podhoretz on Iran and MAD