A predominantly one-topic blog: how is it that the most imminent and lethal implication for humankind - the fact that the doctrine of "Mutually Assured Destruction" will not work with Iran - is not being discussed in our media? Until it is recognized that MAD is dead, the Iranian threat will be treated as a threat only to Israel and not as the global threat which it in fact is. A blog by Mladen Andrijasevic
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Wednesday, November 18, 2015
Tuesday, November 17, 2015
The Islamist Tantrum
People are dead in Paris because Europe decided to make a
fetish of its tolerance for intolerance.
Belgian special force
officers prepare to enter a house in Molenbeek-Saint-Jean
in Brussels on Nov. 16 after a series of
deadly attacks on Paris.
|
.
By BRET STEPHENS
We live in the age of the sanctified tantrum—the
political and religious furies we dare not name or shame, much less confront.
Students
bully college administrators with contrived political demands. The
administrators plead they can do better, then capitulate. Incompetent writers
pen trite racial screeds aimed at the very society that lifts them above their
ability. They are hailed as geniuses. Donald Trump’s bid for the Republican
presidential nomination epitomizes the politics of the tantrum. He’s angry as
hell, and so is his base. We’re supposed to respect this.
And then
there is the tantrum of Islam, another eruption of rage that feeds off our
astonishing willingness to indulge it.
Before Friday’s
carnage in the City of Light, the world was treated to the hideous spectacle of
Palestinians knifing Jews in Israel. The supposed motive of these stabbings was
a rumor among Palestinians—fanned by Palestinian President Mahmoud
Abbas—that the Israeli government intended to allow Jews to pray on the Temple
Mount.
This was
a story the Israeli government adamantly denied and every serious person knew
was false. Yet no senior Western leader dared call out Mr. Abbas to correct the
record. Palestinian tantrums are sanctified tantrums. The violence they breed
might be condemned, but the narrative on which they rest has the status of holy
writ. It is no more to be questioned than the Quran is to be burned.
“To
counteract the radicalization [in Europe],” Swedish Foreign Minister Margot
Wallström said in a televised interview only hours
after the Paris attacks, “we must go back to the situation such as the one in
the Middle East in which . . . the Palestinians see that there is no future; we
must either accept a desperate situation or resort to violence.”
Here was
the sanctified tantrum par excellence: People murder and maim because they have
been put (by Israel) to a bleak choice. Rage is not to be condemned but
understood, mitigated and mollified.
Later
that day, at the Democratic debate, Hillary Clinton and
the two noncontenders for the Democratic presidential nomination each refused
to use the term “radical Islam” in referring to the ideological force behind
the Paris killings. The furthest Mrs. Clinton would go to naming the enemy was
to say “you can talk about Islamists who also are clearly jihadists.”
Apparently,
however, you cannot mention Islamists who are not yet “clearly jihadists,” lest
some other invisible line be transgressed. To do so might set off another
tantrum among people who tend toward violence whenever they are accused of
violent tendencies.
Nowhere
are Islamist tantrums so richly indulged as in Europe.
Take the
Brussels neighborhood of Molenbeek, which turns out to have been home to at
least one mastermind of Friday’s attacks. “In Molenbeek, the newspaper Het Volk
published a study of the local Muslim population,” I noted in this
column in August 2006. “The editor, Gunther
Vanpraet, described the commune as a ‘breeding ground
for thousands of Jihad candidates.’ ”
For many
years the mayor of Molenbeek was a man named Philippe Moureaux, a
Socialist best known as the author of the 1981 Law Against Racism and
Xenophobia. In 2004 he helped pass a law allowing noncitizens to vote in
municipal elections. Roughly a quarter of Molenbeek’s 96,000 residents are not
Belgian citizens.
Mr.
Moureaux was also instrumental in engineering the political marriage of his
Socialist Party with Muslim arrivals from Turkey and North Africa—a Europe-wide
phenomenon that accounts for left-wing sympathies for Islamists whose views on
subjects such as gay rights or the equality of women are less than progressive.
It was
under Mr. Moureaux’s indulgent eye that Molenbeek became what it is. For years,
a group called Sharia4Belgium—no prizes for guessing its goals—was active in
the neighborhood until a Belgian judge shut it down in February. The Muslim
fanatic who last year opened fire on the Jewish museum in Brussels, killing
four, also once lived in Molenbeek, as had the man who tried to open fire on a
high-speed train in August. “I notice that each time [there is a jihadist
attack] there is a link with Molenbeek,” Charles Michel, Belgium’s
prime minister, admitted Sunday. Nice of him to connect the dots.
I lived
near Molenbeek for two years when I worked for this newspaper’s European
edition and used to jog along the canal that cuts through the neighborhood. It
took no special insight to see what was likely to come out of the place.
Now 129
people are dead in Paris because Europe decided to make a fetish of its
tolerance for intolerance and allow the religious distempers of its Islamist communities
to fester over many years. That’s what happens when you sanctify political
tantrums, explain and appease them, refuse to name them, try to look away.
Monday, November 16, 2015
AYAAN HIRSI ALI: Europe’s Terrorist War at Home
Learn from Israel, end the open-borders policy, and dig
in for a long war of ideas against Islamists.
By AYAAN HIRSI ALI
French President François Hollande declared
the Nov. 13 terrorist attack in Paris an “act of war” by Islamic State, and he
was right, if belated, in recognizing that the jihadists have been at war with
the West for years. Islamic State, or ISIS, is vowing more attacks in Europe,
and so Europe itself—not just France—must get on a war footing, uniting to do
whatever it takes militarily to destroy ISIS and its so-called caliphate in
Syria and Iraq. Not “contain,” not “degrade”—destroy, period.
But even
if ISIS is completely destroyed, Islamic extremism itself will not go away. If
anything, the destruction of ISIS would increase the religious fervor of those
within Europe who long for a caliphate.
European leaders must make some major political
decisions, and perhaps France can lead the way. A shift in mentality is needed
to avoid more terror attacks on an even bigger scale and the resulting civil
strife. Islamic extremists will never succeed in turning Europe into a Muslim
continent. What they may well do is provoke a civil war so that parts of Europe
end up looking like the Balkans in the early 1990s.
Here are three steps that European leaders could take to
eradicate the cancer of Islamic extremism from their midst.
First,
learn from Israel, which has been dealing with Islamist terror from the day it
was born and dealing with much more frequent threats to its citizens’ security.
True, Islamic extremists inside Israel today resort to using knives and cars as
their weapons of choice, but that is because attacks like those in Paris last
week are now simply impossible for the terrorists to organize. Instead of
demonizing Israel, bring their experienced, trained experts to Europe to
develop a coherent counterterror strategy.
Second, dig in for a long battle of ideas. European
leaders will have to address the infrastructure of indoctrination: mosques,
Muslim schools, websites, publishing houses and proselytizing material
(pamphlets, books, treatises, sermons) that serve as conveyor belts to
violence. Islamic extremists target Muslim populations through dawa (persuasion), convincing them that their ends are
legitimate before turning to the question of means.
European
governments must do their own proselytizing in Muslim communities, promoting
the superiority of liberal ideas. This means directly challenging the Islamic
theology that is used by the Islamist predators to turn the heads and hearts of
Muslims with the intent of converting them into enemies of their host
countries.
Third,
Europeans must design a new immigration policy that admits immigrants only if
they are committed to adopt European values and to reject precisely the
Islamist politics that makes them vulnerable to the siren song of the
caliphate.
There are
distinct weaknesses in Europe’s current immigration policy: It is too easy to
gain citizenship without necessarily being loyal to national constitutions; it
is too easy for outsiders to get into European Union countries with or without
credible claims for asylum; and, thanks to the open-borders policy known as
Schengen, it is too easy for foreigners, once they are in the EU, to travel
freely from country to country. This state of affairs has been revealed as
unsustainable by this year’s migrant flood into Europe.
Does this amount to “Fortress Europe,” with a new Iron
Curtain to the east and a naval cordon sanitaire in
the Mediterranean and the Adriatic? Yes. For no other strategy makes sense,
given a threat like the one posed to Europe by Islamic extremism. And if
Europe’s leaders persist, like German Chancellor Angela Merkel, in making a
virtue of the openness of their borders, they will soon be chased out of office
by populists better attuned to public feeling.
The
trouble is that such people generally bring to the table other ideas beyond
immigration control—not least the kind of fervent, illiberal nationalism that
has torn Europe apart in the past.
To
achieve all this, Europe would need to overhaul treaties, laws and policies—in
other words, take steps that before the atrocities in Paris on Friday couldn’t
even be discussed. Maybe this will be the watershed moment for Europe to
rethink the path it has been traveling.
Ms. Hirsi Ali, a fellow at the
Harvard Kennedy School and the American Enterprise Institute, is the author of
“Heretic: The Case for a Muslim Reformation” (HarperCollins, 2015).
***
***
France might have finally woken up after ISIS murdered 129
innocent people in the heart of Paris. But France is still fast asleep to the
danger posed by a nuclear Iran which is orders of magnitude more dangerous than
ISIS. There the chance to learn from
past mistakes will not exist.
Thinking About the Unthinkable: An Israel-Iran Nuclear War
update Nov 18:
Thinking About the Unthinkable: An Israel-Iran Nuclear War
update Nov 18:
Sunday, November 15, 2015
What France Can Learn from Israel in Confronting Islamist Terror
by Gregg Roman
Defeating jihadists isn't rocket science but it is not a walk in
the park either
|
As my French friends, colleagues, and
acquaintances agonize over what is to be done in the aftermath of the Paris
attacks, the best advice I can think of is to look at Israel.
This tragedy was not "France's 9/11."
Al-Qaeda effectively depleted its stateside human assets in that attack and
never regained the ability to strike the American heartland. This is France's
Al-Aqsa Intifada – unfortunately, more of the same is absolutely going to
follow. Whatever one's political predisposition to Israel's counterterrorism
policies may be, its success fighting Islamist terror over the past two decades
is the only real-world model for overcoming the specific challenges France now
faces.
Here are some of the main takeaways.
First, it's time to sacrifice some freedoms of
convenience. Most Israelis don't know what it's like to walk into a mid-size
concert venue of the kind targeted in France without passing through a metal
detector and their government intends to keep it that way. They may gripe about
it, but they would feel less free if their government wasn't
inconveniencing them on a daily basis.
|
Go ahead and profile ... the jihadists bent on
terrorizing France have some obvious commonalities.
|
Second, go ahead and profile. All of the
jihadists bent on terrorizing France have some obvious commonalities. The
reason Israel's Ben Gurion International Airport is considered the gold
standard of airline security is that Israeli screeners are encouraged to
single out passengers for extra scrutiny on the basis of religion, age, gender,
and so forth, while waving the vast majority through terminals more quickly.
Not even the most seasoned terrorist is likely to take the risk of running this
gauntlet if he knows for certain he's going to find himself in
a room full of inquisitive Israelis.
Third, recognize that deterrence isn't fair.
Since it's impossible to dissuade suicide bombers with the threat of certain
death or bodily harm, you have to threaten things they care about. Israel's
policy of demolishing the family homes of Palestinian terrorists may not be
altogether "just," but it's necessary to counter the overwhelmingly
positive social approval and financial benefits these families receive for contributing
"martyrs" to the cause.
|
If
being related to a terrorist isn't already a deeply unpleasant experience in
France, make it so.
|
If being related to a terrorist isn't already a
deeply unpleasant experience in France, make it so. Understand that it's
neither possible nor desirable to ensure that terrorists are the only ones
paying a price for their terrorism. Make whatever efforts to avoid harming
innocents are consistent with your values, but don't let the backlash from
armchair counter-terrorists and Francophobes abroad dictate policy.
Fourth, target the brains behind terrorist
infrastructure. Go after the people responsible for recruiting, financing,
training, motivating, and directing jihadists, not just the foot soldiers.
Prosecute them if you can, but if they're overseas don't be afraid to dispense
swifter justice. Though controversial when Israel first adopted targeted
killing as a counterterrorism tool, most governments (including most notably
the Obama administration) now recognize its effectiveness. The number of
fatalities from suicide bombings in Israel dropped from hundreds in 2002 to
zero in 2010.
Fifth, fight the incitement. Americans can still
afford to pretend that Islamist hate speech and indoctrination has little to do
with terrorist violence, but France can't. The French government took a step in
the right direction when it deported 40 Islamists accused of incitement in June
of this year. It needs to go further. Instead of avoiding the banlieues,
rings of Muslim majority neighborhoods around French cities that are
impoverished, crime-ridden, and blighted, gendarmeries and intelligence
services should sweep into these suburbs and place community centers, mosques,
and high rises under surveillance. Checkpoints should be setup at the entrances
to Islamist havens and searches conducted on those commuting in and out of
these areas.
|
France must control its borders if it wishes
to avoid a repeat of Friday's terror attacks.
|
Sixth, France must prioritize national security
interests over sectarian grievances. It's understandable that French Muslims
are frustrated by their socio-economic marginalization, and there is surely
room for improvement in how the authorities treat this estranged minority. But
the rights and wrongs of this issue don't diminish France's right to defend
itself or alter fundamental realities about what it takes to do that.
Finally, at the risk of belaboring the obvious,
France must control and monitor its borders if it wishes to avoid a repeat of
Friday's terror attacks. The ability of at least one of the attackers to claim
refugee status in Greece and move onto France was an intelligence failure of
the highest degree. As Sweden, Germany, Austria, and other countries reconsider
Schengen, an agreement that allows uninhibited movement around Europe, so too
should France. The French Interior ministry instituted border controls
immediately after the attack. This change should be permanent.
As President François Hollande declared after
the attacks, France is reeling from an "act of war," not a crime
wave. Israel has demonstrated that it is possible to win such wars, but this
isn't for the faint-hearted.
Gregg Roman is director of
the Middle East Forum.
Saturday, November 14, 2015
The Barbarians Are Inside, And There Are No Gates
by Mark Steyn
As I write, Paris is under curfew for the first time
since the German occupation, and the death toll from the multiple attacks
stands at 158, the vast majority of them slaughtered during a concert at the
Bataclan theatre, a delightful bit of 19th century Chinoiserie on the boulevard
Voltaire. The last time I was there, if memory serves, was to see Julie Pietri.
I'm so bloody sick of these savages shooting and bombing and killing and
blowing up everything I like - whether it's the small Quebec town where my little
girl's favorite fondue restaurant is or my favorite hotel in Amman or the brave
freespeecher who hosted me in Copenhagen ...or a music hall where I liked to go
to hear a little jazz and pop and get away from the cares of the world for a
couple of hours. But look at the photographs from Paris: there's nowhere to get
away from it; the barbarians who yell "Allahu Akbar!" are there
waiting for you ...when you go to a soccer match, you go to a concert, you go
for a drink on a Friday night. They're there on the train... at the magazine
office... in the Kosher supermarket... at the museum in Brussels... outside the
barracks in Woolwich...
This is what we're going to
be talking about when the mullahs nuke us.
Almost. When the Allahu Akbar
boys opened fire, Paris was talking about the climate-change conference due to
start later this month, when the world's leaders will fly in to
"solve" a "problem" that doesn't exist rather than to
address the one that does. But don't worry: we already have a hashtag
(#PrayForParis) and doubtless there'll be another candlelight vigil of weepy
tilty-headed wankers. Because as long as we all advertise how sad and sorrowful
we are, who needs to do anything?
With his usual killer comedy timing, the "leader of the free world" told George Stephanopoulos on "Good Morning, America" this very morning that he'd "contained" ISIS and that they're not "gaining strength". A few hours later, a cell whose members claim to have been recruited by ISIS slaughtered over 150 people in the heart of Paris and succeeded in getting two suicide bombers and a third bomb to within a few yards of the French president.
Visiting the Bataclan, M
Hollande declared that "nous allons mener le combat, il sera
impitoyable": We are going to wage a war that will be pitiless.
Does he mean it? Or is he just
killing time until Obama and Cameron and Merkel and Justin Trudeau and Malcolm
Turnbull fly in and they can all get back to talking about sea levels in the
Maldives in the 22nd century? By which time France and Germany and Belgium and
Austria and the Netherlands will have been long washed away.
Among his other coy evasions,
President Obama described tonight's events as "an attack not just on
Paris, it's an attack not just on the people of France, but this is an attack
on all of humanity and the universal values we share".
But that's not true, is it?
He's right that it's an attack not just on Paris or France. What it is is an
attack on the west, on the civilization that built the modern world - an attack
on one portion of "humanity" by those who claim to speak for another
portion of "humanity". And these are not "universal values"
but values that spring from a relatively narrow segment of humanity. They were
kinda sorta "universal" when the great powers were willing to enforce
them around the world and the colonial subjects of ramshackle backwaters such
as Aden, Sudan and the North-West Frontier Province were at least obliged to
pay lip service to them. But the European empires retreated from the world, and
those "universal values" are utterly alien to large parts of the map
today.
And then Europe decided to
invite millions of Muslims to settle in their countries. Most of those people
don't want to participate actively in bringing about the death of diners and
concertgoers and soccer fans, but at a certain level most of them either wish
or are indifferent to the death of the societies in which they live - modern,
pluralist, western societies and those "universal values" of which
Barack Obama bleats. So, if you are either an active ISIS recruit or just a guy
who's been fired up by social media, you have a very large comfort zone in
which to swim, and which the authorities find almost impossible to penetrate.
And all Chancellor Merkel and
the EU want to do is make that large comfort zone even larger by letting
millions more "Syrian" "refugees" walk into the Continent
and settle wherever they want. As I wrote after the Copenhagen attacks
in February:
I would like to ask Mr
Cameron and Miss Thorning-Schmidt what's their happy ending here? What's their
roadmap for fewer "acts of violence" in the years ahead? Or are they
riding on a wing and a prayer that they can manage the situation and hold it
down to what cynical British civil servants used to call during the Irish
"Troubles" "an acceptable level of violence"? In Pakistan
and Nigeria, the citizenry are expected to live with the reality that every so
often Boko Haram will kick open the door of the schoolhouse and kidnap your
daughters for sex-slavery or the Taliban will gun down your kids and behead
their teacher in front of the class. And it's all entirely "random",
as President Obama would say, so you just have to put up with it once in a
while, and it's tough if it's your kid, but that's just the way it is. If we're
being honest here, isn't that all Mr Cameron and Miss Thorning-Schmidt are
offering their citizens? Spasms of violence as a routine feature of life, but
don't worry, we'll do our best to contain it - and you can help mitigate it by
not going to "controversial" art events, or synagogues, or gay bars,
or...
...or soccer matches, or
concerts, or restaurants...
To repeat what I said a few
days ago, I'm Islamed out. I'm tired of Islam 24/7, at Colorado colleges,
Marseilles synagogues, Sydney coffee shops, day after day after day. The west
cannot win this thing with a schizophrenic strategy of targeting things and
people but not targeting the ideology, of intervening ineffectually overseas
and not intervening at all when it comes to the remorseless Islamization and
self-segregation of large segments of their own countries.
So I say again: What's the
happy ending here? Because if M Hollande isn't prepared to end mass Muslim
immigration to France and Europe, then his "pitiless war" isn't
serious. And, if they're still willing to tolerate Mutti Merkel's mad plan to
reverse Germany's demographic death spiral through fast-track Islamization,
then Europeans aren't serious. In the end, the decadence of Merkel, Hollande,
Cameron and the rest of the fin de
civilisation western leadership will cost
you your world and everything you love.
So screw the candlelight
vigil.
Paris terror attack: Syrian passport found on attacker was used to seek asylum in Greece
The headline above comes from The Telegraph
I wonder if European leaders are just dumb? Apparently,
ISIS in February of this year announced that they planned to infiltrate their
jihadists into Europe as refugees and flood Europe with 500 000 refugees. Was
this considered a piece of news worth reporting? No. Robert Spencer wrote in September:
‘The Islamic State published a document entitled,
“Libya: The Strategic Gateway for the Islamic State.” Gateway into Europe, that
is: the document exhorted Muslims to go to Libya and cross from there as
refugees into Europe. This document tells would-be jihadis that weapons from
Gaddafi’s arsenal are plentiful and easy to obtain in Libya – and that the
country “has a long coast and looks upon the southern Crusader states, which
can be reached with ease by even a rudimentary boat.”
The Islamic State did not have in mind just a few
jihadis crossing from Libya: it also emerged last February that the jihadis
planned to flood Europe with as many as 500,000 refugees. Now
the number is shooting well beyond that in Germany alone. Of course, not all of
these refugees are Islamic jihadis. Not all are even Muslims, although most
are. However, no effort whatsoever is being made to determine the refugees’
adherence to Sharia and desire to bring it to their new land. Any such effort
would be “Islamophobic.” Yet there are already hints that the Islamic State is
putting its plan into effect: jihadis have already been found among
the refugees trying to enter Europe. There will be many
more such discoveries.’
http://madisdead.blogspot.co.il/2015/10/europes-migrant-crisis-is-simply-muslim.html
“As a matter of fact, last February
they [ISIS] explained to us after the manner of Hitler in Mein Kampf, exactly
what they were going to do and how they are going to do it, and they said last
February, that they are going to flood Europe with 500 thousand refugees. Does
that sound familiar? Do you think conceivably there can be any connection to
this present refugee crisis? Of course, world leaders Barak Obama, David Cameron
and Angela Merkel and all the rest of them, they all are sure that, of course,
there is no possible connection between the Islamic State threatening to flood
Europe with refugees, just a few months ago, and Europe being flooded with
refugees now. Any connection would be inconceivable. However the Islam State, a
spokesman from them recently said “we’ve already got 4000 of our men into
Europe among the refugees and more are coming all the time.”
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