A one-topic blog: how is it that the most imminent and lethal implication for humankind - the fact that the doctrine of "Mutually Assured Destruction" will not work with Iran - is not being discussed in our media? Until it is recognized that MAD is dead, the Iranian threat will be treated as a threat only to Israel and not as the global threat which it in fact is.
A blog by Mladen Andrijasevic
An extension of the
international negotiations with Iran may be better than the talks breaking down
altogether, but an indefinite string of extensions does not make for a sound
extensions leave Iran as a nuclear weapons threshold state, raising the risk
that Iran eventually builds nuclear weapons. In addition, even if Iran never
builds nuclear weapons, its current capability causes severe challenges for
global non-proliferation efforts, Middle Eastern security and human rights
were prepared to live with this situation, we could simply declare the status
quo to be a "comprehensive" deal and be done with the matter. But we
are not. The temporary deal struck last year was never meant to be permanent.
extensions on their own don't get us any closer to a final deal. The failure of
diplomacy to date has not been the result of insufficient time. The diplomats
have been at it for over a year. The problem is that Iran's supreme leader is
not yet ready to make the necessary concessions.
solution, therefore, is to bring more pressure to bear on Iran. We could
immediately slap tougher sanctions on Iran, but Iran might use this as a
pretext to walk away from the talks, and many would (wrongly) blame the U.S.
Congress, not Iran, for diplomacy's failure.
would be problematic because international support will be required for the
continued success of the sanctions regime and for possible tougher measures
down the road.
than additional sanctions, therefore, the Obama administration and Congress
must make it clear to Iran and to our international partners thatJuly 1is a firm deadline. There will be no
has several months to make a hard decision, and if it does not, the
international community will impose the harshest remaining sanctions on Iran.
With the option of another extension off the table and the no-deal path looking
increasingly unattractive, this approach offers our best hope of getting Iran's
supreme leader to place verifiable curbs on his nuclear program.
Kroenig is an Associate Professor in the Department of Government at Georgetown
University, a Senior Fellow in the Brent Scowcroft Center on International
Security at The Atlantic Council, a former adviser on Iran policy in the Office
of the Secretary of Defense, and the author ofA Time to Attack: The
Looming Iranian Nuclear Threat.