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The 8 F-16 pilots who bombed Osirak
Yadlin, first row on the left
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What can I say to the former F-16 fighter pilot who in June
1981 was one of the 8 pilots who bombed the Iraqi Osirak nuclear reactor ? What
can I say to the former head of Aman, the Israeli Military
Intelligence?
I can say the same as to anyone else who in his reasoning skips
over the most important facts about Iran. I suggest he read what scholars of
Islam have to say else his analysis will be incomplete.
Ex-Intelligence chief
says diplomatic solution better than military, adds Syria's weakened state
benefits Israel's strategic standing.
Of
course a diplomatic solution would be better than military action, but how do
you find a diplomatic solution with the Twelvers? From an article by Israel
Kasnett in the Jerusalem Post " Deterrence
is Irrelevant"
Iran is led by a group of irrational men who
believe they can hurry the arrival of the Mahdi – the 12th Imam who, according
to Shi’ite Islamic tradition, went missing in 874 CE and will return under
conditions ofglobal chaos. The Iranian leadership appears willing to sacrifice
the population of its own country to achieve this goal. In his book The Rise of
Nuclear Iran, former Israeli ambassador to the UN Dore Gold writes, “Mahdi
Khaliji, an Iranian Shi’ite scholar… has noted that there are apocalyptic
hadiths [received Shi’ite traditions] that the Mahdi will not return unless
one-third of the world population is killed and another third die.
There is even less
chance of find a diplomatic solution today than there was in June 1981 when
Amos Yadlin was in the cockpit of his F-16 bombing Osirak
Israeli threats to
strike Iran's nuclear program and send shock waves throughout the world
are "unhelpful," and Jerusalem should lower its profile on the
issue, director of the Institute for National Security Studies, Maj.-Gen.
(res.) Amos Yadlin, said Monday.
Yadlin, a former
Military Intelligence chief, spoke at the unveiling of the INSS's strategic
assessment for 2012-2013.
Yadlin stressed that a
nuclear-armed Iran is more dangerous than an attack on the Islamic Republic.
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Could not agree more
He called on the government to "return to
the international community,"
Why
should we "return to the international community" when
they are completely in the dark about the Iranian motives?
and to better coordinate its position with the
White House over Iran.
However, the White House had refused to support the
Green revolution in Iran and had done initially everything to stop economic sanctions
against Iran. How do you coordinate our position with an administration whose
approach to Iran is so different and dangerous for us?
An understanding should be reached over the
"required steps to stop Iran, and who will take them," Yadlin said.
"Israel does not need to object to a diplomatic solution, if it stops the
[nuclear] clock."
Stops the nuclear clock? Why should we assume that the people who
believe in this ideology would ever stop a nuclear clock, except to deceive ?
The key question, Yadlin argued, was how
long it will take Iran to reach a nuclear breakout phase from the time it would
violate a diplomatic agreement. If a couple of years separate Iran from nuclear
breakout, that would be a better solution than a military attack, he said.
Iran is currently four to six months away from
nuclear breakout stage, if an order is given to reach that phase now, Yadlin
said. He envisaged a diplomatic solution that would allow Iran to possess 1,200
centrifuges.
If Israel did end up striking Iran's nuclear
program, a surgical attack that would carefully eliminate nuclear sites could
enable Iran to respond in a limited manner, thereby avoiding a regional war, he
argued.
Jerusalem should also better coordinate its
position with Washington over the Palestinian issue, Yadlin said, adding that
it was time for Israel to put forward a new diplomatic initiative.
Yadlin proposed a "fair offer, along the
Clinton parameters, or the offer made by the Israeli government in 2008. We
estimate that the Palestinians will reject our offer," he said. "If
that happens, Israel will be able to shape its own borders," he added,
referring to a unilateral step, but one which is based on lessons learned from
errors committed in the 2005 Gaza disengagement.
We
estimate that the Palestinians will reject our offer". Wow!
So we know it is all a farce! Is this all one big game of
moves we are supposed to make to show our "good will" while we know
it leads nowhere?. Wouldn't it better to explain why there can
never be a resolution, since it is contrary to Palestinians' key
religious beliefs?
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That means maintaining an IDF presence in the
Jordan Valley, to cut off weapons transfer points, unlike the abandonment of
the Gaza-Egypt border, which allowed Hamas and Islamic Jihad to import large
quantities of rockets after Israel left the Strip.
"We are facing an American administration
that is maintaining a very good security-intelligence dialogue with us,"
Yadlin said. "Better than ever before," he added.
A
very good security dialog with the US so that we can we can counter the threats
by the Islamist government whom the American
administration helped come to power in the first place!
Israel should also seek to forge relationships
with new Sunni powers, and work with them to isolate "the big enemy, which
is Iran," Yadlin said.
Israel's deterrence is strong, and "the IDF
is the strongest military in the Middle East," he added.
Syria will be busy with rebuilding itself in the
coming years, he assessed. The fact that Syria - a major component of the
Iranian-led regional axis - has been badly damaged has resulted in a benefit
for Israel's strategic standing, Yadlin said.
"All of this is conditioned on renewing the
diplomatic process with the Palestinians," he stressed.
But a diplomatic process with the Palestinians
is just that, a process that does not lead anywhere. It does not lead anywhere
because it cannot lead anywhere since it s contrary to the core Muslim tenet of
Jihad. So we need to find a solution which fits both
sides. Does it exist? Yes. Muslims are
permitted not to wage jihad if the infidel side is perceived as too strong, in
which case 10 years of hudna or cease-fire is permitted, after which the
conditions for jihad are reevaluated.
The best we can therefore hope for, until these concepts are rendered obsolete
by Muslims themselves, is a perpetual state of back-to-back, 10-year-long
hudnas. Clearly, amid such a reality, Israel's strength would not be
perceived as an obstacle to peace, but as the only viable solution.
So does Yadlin suggests that we
should just engage in an effort which has no solution just to placate the
international community?
Yadlin said Israel should seek to contain small
incidents along the borders, and "not let small organizations drag us into
war."
"If there will be a war-type development in
2013... it will be in our hands," Yadlin said. He called on the government
to be "more active" in pursuing these goals.
Turning his attention to the reported air
strikes in Syria, Yadlin said that if Syria admitted it had attempted to
transfer SA-17 anti-aircraft missiles to Hezbollah, it would be admitting to
breaking a pledge made to Russia to refrain from such proliferation.